3-Month @ 5.37% and 5-Year @ 4.38% (Tax-Equivalent Yields)

RichardW
  |     |   821 posts since 2019

The yields of a few Treasuries as of 10/15/2024 are listed below (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treas... ). Depending on your taxable income and state of residence, the taxable-equivalent yields could be higher than the yields shown below.

1-month: 4.93%

3-month: 4.73%

6-month: 4.42%

1-year: 4.18%

2-year: 3.95%

3-year: 3.86%

5-year: 3.86%

Using the expression “TEY = Y x (1 - f) / (1 - f - s)” which is appropriate if you are not itemizing deductions, we can calculate the tax equivalent yield [where: “TEY” is the tax equivalent yield, “Y” is the Treasury yield, “f” is the federal marginal tax rate, and “s” is the state marginal tax rate].

For example, consider the situation of a California resident who is single with a taxable income of $75,000 and who is considering the purchase a 3-month Treasury Bill. From (https://ca-us.icalculator.com/income-tax-rates/2024.html#personal-income-tax) we find that s = 0.093. From (https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/irs-provides-tax-inflation-adjustments-for-tax-year-2024) we find that f = 0.22. So, TEY = Y x (1 - f) / (1 - f - s) = 0.0473 x (1 - 0.22) / (1 - 0.22 - 0.093) = 0.0537 = 5.37%. This indicates that the 3-month Treasury Bill at 4.73% appears to have the tax-equivalent yield of a 3-month CD at 5.37%. Changing the taxable income to $150,000 and the tax filing status to married filing jointly produces the same tax-equivalent yield of 5.37%.

If we change the scenario to a 5-year Treasury Note, and again utilize the situation of a California resident who is single with a taxable income of $75,000, s = 0.093 and f = 0.22 as before. So, TEY = Y x (1 - f) / (1 - f - s) = 0.0386 x (1 - 0.22) / (1 - 0.22 - 0.093) = 0.0438 = 4.38%. This indicates that the 5-year Treasury Note at 3.86% appears to have the tax-equivalent yield of a 5-year CD at 4.38%. Changing the taxable income to $150,000 and the tax filing status to married filing jointly produces the same tax-equivalent yield of 4.38%.

The annualized tax-equivalent yield results listed above neglect local income tax, NIIT, AMT, and assume that the Treasury Bill and the comparable CD are held in a taxable deposit account.

In states such as Alaska, Florida, Nevada, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Washington, and Wyoming which have no state income tax, s = 0, and therefore TEY = Y.

Obviously, the tax-equivalent yield results were noticeably higher in late April of this year, but even now you can see a tax-equivalent yield advantage for Treasuries if you reside in a state which has high state income tax rates such as California.




w00d00w
  |     |   360 posts since 2012
a good reminder to run the numbers and see which "safe money" vehicle is best for a taxable account. different circumstances can lead to a different ideal choice.
w00d00w
  |     |   360 posts since 2012
plain vanilla bank/CU direct CDs offer a lot of certainty to investors. the main areas of uncertainty, from my perspective, are what happens to the CD if the banking entity issuing it fails and what the real return will be during the holding period.

it seems to me that among the treasury offerings, the ones that offer the most certainty (if held to maturity) are ones that have no reinvestment risk. that list would include T Bills, STRIPS, and EE savings bonds.


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