Ally6770
  |     |   4,307 posts since 2010
The feds latest predictions just 3 months later from the previous one is
inflation from 2.5% up to 3.1%
unemployment from 4.3% up to 4.5%
growth from 2.1% down to 1.4%
Sounding more like its heading toward stagflation now.
Mark11
  |     |   14 posts since 2025
U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday he would "love" if Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell were to resign, and the president also said he wanted interest rates cut to 1%.
Ally6770
  |     |   4,307 posts since 2010
Mark,
Everyone has an opinion. Donald Trump's opinion means no more than yours or mine.
He has no authority over Powell, nor Powell over him.
Powell has 12 people on the federal board, each with different specialties to vote and help make the decision. They only have the power, the voice and the vote to help make the decision.
Mark11
  |     |   14 posts since 2025
I hope this isn't violating rules and gets me banned but it is about rates.

“If I think somebody’s going to keep the rates where they are or whatever, I’m not going to put them in. I’m going to put somebody that wants to cut rates,” Trump told reporters at the Oval Office. The president suggested lowering rates to 1 percent.
Ally6770
  |     |   4,307 posts since 2010
I guess you didn't know that trump picked Powell. The senate confirmed him. Now he wants Powell to do what he says. Trump has no control of what Powell says or does. Trump is just noise. Powell has a term. It will be up next year I believe. Trump cannot fire him or replace him at this time. He can appoint someone if he is in office when Powell's term is up. But that person will have to be approved by the Senate. So the Federal Reserve is separate from the executive branch and what trump does or doesn't say or do doesn't matter to Powell except what he does that may affect inflation or unemployment. Trump can say and do what he wants to do and Powell and the rest of the board and with their expertise will do what they do best. Trump has no control and can do nothing about anything Powell does.
Mark11
  |     |   14 posts since 2025
I'm not worried about this year, I have a lot of 5% and above CDs coming due next year and the year after to worry about.....;)
Btw, fed meeting is a month away so all depends where bond yields are around then, low enough and Powell will follow and lower rates imo.
Ally6770
  |     |   4,307 posts since 2010
Powell and the board will not vote on what the bonds will do.
The bonds react to what happens in our country. We are not the country people go to for safety. Why do you think gold is up so high? What you should be worried about is the 3 who have not voted yet tonight in the Senate.
I don't think you may realize the prepitice the US is on with the vote tonight that will only allow debate to vote on the bill before it is sent back to the house if approved and what will happen in our country if this budget deficit is allowed to grow bigger.
Our personal situation is nothing. WE ALL MAY HAVE MUCH MORE TO WORRY ABOUT. Forget politics. Think about the future of our country.
Mark11
  |     |   14 posts since 2025
I didn't say anything about the fed voting on what bonds do, reread ...and I only come here for the interest rates and CDs, that's all.
Ally6770
  |     |   4,307 posts since 2010
Guess someone hacked into your response. Below is what was posted under your name. I didn't realize your post was hacked. So sorry.

Btw, fed meeting is a month away so all depends where bond yields are around then, low enough and Powell will follow and lower rates imo.
Mark11
  |     |   14 posts since 2025
One more time and then I'll give up. The fed follows what the bond market does, if the bond market yields continue to drop as we get closer to the next fed meeting the fed will lower the short term rates.... the only hope for the fed not to drop rates is for bond yields to start moving back up.
milty
  |     |   1,689 posts since 2018
My understanding is the bond market is only 1 piece of the puzzle that the Fed considers when deciding to raise or lower the FFR. What is the source that states otherwise?
Ally6770
  |     |   4,307 posts since 2010
As the Fed continues to cut rates, it’s crucial to understand this impact on different asset classes. One asset class that traditionally benefits from falling yields is bonds. This is a fundamental principle of investing: as interest rates decrease, bond prices typically increase.

The reason for this inverse relationship is simple. When new bonds are issued at lower interest rates, the older bonds that offer higher rates become more attractive to investors. As a result, the demand for these older bonds increases, driving up their prices.
I think you should talk to a bond manager. The bond market reacts to what the fed does not the other way around. People buy bonds if they have faith in the US and its economy. Why do you think gold is so high right now? Why do countries want their gold back now. They were flying gold to our country and shipping their silver here but now wanting it back.
milty
  |     |   1,689 posts since 2018
Cutting the FFR to 1% would be disastrous for deposit account savers. But I think as Ally6770 has pointed out elsewhere, Jerome Powell does not alone set the FFR, which is rather decided by the entire FOMC. However, in 2026, should Powell choose to resign from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors (his term expires in 2032) if not reappointed as Chair (which apparently is typically the case), and along with Adriana Kugler's (D) term also expiring in 2026, it would then give Trump two appointments. However, hopefully Powell will break precedent and not resign from the Board thereby giving Trump only one appointment. Whether it's one or two appointments would that be enough to bend the rest of the FOMC to Trump's will? I don't know, but if you think so then going longer term on CDs makes sense.
Ally6770
  |     |   4,307 posts since 2010
The dollar is down 10% since the end of Jan. causing prices to go up later this year on top of the  current 10% tariffs.
From Time on Friday June 27th
The Brief June 27, 2025
Updates on the economy.
Americans’ wallets could be set to take a hit as the U.S. dollar has tumbled to a three-year low amid concerns about the stability and strength of the country’s economy.

Trump has announced he will not extend the tariffs on the 9th. Maybe that will stable things? In uncertainity people stop buying things, exasperating the job market.  2/3 thirds of the 380 countries said if they moved to the US it would double their costs.


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